Each week, the OFFSCREEN CENTRAL team will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns.

Weekly, we will update throughout the season and with each update below, we’ll indicate our changes as we update!

Anything in green has moved up in our predictions indicating an increased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in red has moved down in our predictions indicating a decreased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in blue is a new addition into our predictions.
Anything in not highlighted remains in the same placement as the last time we updated our predictions.

Below, you’ll find our predictions for SUPPORTING ACTOR from most likely to least likely to be nominated.

*Last updated 1/1

KENZIE
1 – BENICIO DEL TORO – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2 – STELLAN SKARSGÅRD – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
3 – JACOB ELORDI – FRANKENSTEIN
4 – SEAN PENN – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
5 – ADAM SANDLER – JAY KELLY
6 – PAUL MESCAL – HAMNET
7 – MILES CATON – SINNERS
8 – KEVIN O’LEARY – MARTY SUPREME
9 – DELROY LINDO – SINNERS
10 – ANDREW SCOTT – BLUE MOON
MAR
1 – STELLAN SKARSGÅRD – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
2 – BENICIO DEL TORO – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
3 – SEAN PENN – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
4 – JACOB ELORDI – FRANKENSTEIN
5 – PAUL MESCAL – HAMNET
6 – ADAM SANDLER – JAY KELLY 
7 – DELROY LINDO – SINNERS
8 – MILES CATON – SINNERS
9 – KEVIN O’LEARY – MARTY SUPREME
10 – ANDREW SCOTT – BLUE MOON
JESSA
1 – STELLAN SKARSGARD – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
2 – PAUL MESCAL – HAMNET
3 – BENICIO DEL TORO – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
4 – SEAN PENN – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
5 – JACOB ELORDI – FRANKENSTEIN
6 – ADAM SANDLER – JAY KELLY
7 – DELROY LINDO – SINNERS
8 – JEREMY STRONG – SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
9 – MILES CANTON – SINNERS
10 – CONAN O’BRIEN – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU
EVA
1 – STELLAN SKARSGÅRD – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
2 – BENICIO DEL TORO – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
3 – SEAN PENN – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
4 – JACOB ELORDI – FRANKENSTEIN
5 – ADAM SANDLER – JAY KELLY
6 – PAUL MESCAL – HAMNET
7 – DELROY LINDO – SINNERS
8 – ANDREW SCOTT – BLUE MOON
9 – MILES CATON – SINNERS
10 – KEVIN O’LEARY – MARTY SUPREME
MEREDITH
1 – STELLAN SKARSGÅRD – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
2 – BENICIO DEL TORO – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
3 – PAUL MESCAL – HAMNET
4 – JACOB ELORDI – FRANKENSTEIN
5 – ADAM SANDLER – JAY KELLY 
6 – DELROY LINDO – SINNERS
7 – KEVIN O’LEARY – MARTY SUPREME
8 – SEAN PENN – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
9 – JACOBI JUPE – HAMNET
10 – JOSH O’CONNOR – WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY
SARAH
1 – STELLAN SKARSGÅRD – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
2 – BENICIO DEL TORO – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
3 – SEAN PENN – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
4 – PAUL MESCAL – HAMNET
5 – JACOB ELORDI – FRANKENSTEIN
6 – DELROY LINDO – SINNERS
7 – ADAM SANDLER – JAY KELLY
8 – MILES CATON – SINNERS
9 – KEVIN O’LEARY – MARTY SUPREME
10 – ANDREW SCOTT – BLUE MOON
MADELYN
1 – STELLAN SKARSGÅRD – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
2 – BENICIO DEL TORO – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
3 – JACOB ELORDI – FRANKENSTEIN
4 – SEAN PENN – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
5 – PAUL MESCAL – HAMNET
6 – DELROY LINDO – SINNERS
7 – ADAM SANDLER – JAY KELLY 
8 – JONATHAN BAILEY – WICKED: FOR GOOD
9 – KEVIN O’LEARY – MARTY SUPREME
10 – JEREMY STRONG – SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE