Each week, the OFFSCREENCENTRALteam will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns.
Weekly, we will update throughout the season and with each update below, we’ll indicate our changes as we update!
Anything in green has moved up in our predictions indicating an increased chance to us in its nomination chances. Anything in red has moved down in our predictions indicating a decreased chance to us in its nomination chances. Anything in blue is a new addition into our predictions. Anything in not highlighted remains in the same placement as the last time we updated our predictions.
Below, you’ll find our predictions for ORIGINALSCREENPLAY from most likely to least likely to win.
*Last updated 2/27
KENZIE
1 – SINNERS – RYAN COOGLER
2 – IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT – JAFAR PAHANI
3 – SENTIMENTAL VALUE – JOACHIM TRIER AND ESKIL VOGT
4 – MARTY SUPREME – RONALD BRONSTEIN & JOSH SAFDIE
5 – BLUE MOON – ROBERT KAPLOW
JESSA
1 – SINNERS – RYAN COOGLER
2 – IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT – JAFAR PAHANI
3 – SENTIMENTAL VALUE – JOACHIM TRIER AND ESKIL VOGT
4 – MARTY SUPREME – RONALD BRONSTEIN & JOSH SAFDIE
5 – BLUE MOON – ROBERT KAPLOW
EVA
1 – SINNERS – RYAN COOGLER
2 – SENTIMENTAL VALUE – JOACHIM TRIER AND ESKIL VOGT
3 – MARTY SUPREME – RONALD BRONSTEIN & JOSH SAFDIE
4 – IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT – JAFAR PAHANI
5 – BLUE MOON – ROBERT KAPLOW
MADELYN
1 – SINNERS – RYAN COOGLER
2 – MARTY SUPREME – RONALD BRONSTEIN & JOSH SAFDIE
3 – SENTIMENTAL VALUE – JOACHIM TRIER AND ESKIL VOGT
4 – IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT – JAFAR PAHANI
5 – BLUE MOON – ROBERT KAPLOW
MEREDITH
1 – SINNERS – RYAN COOGLER
2 – MARTY SUPREME – RONALD BRONSTEIN & JOSH SAFDIE
3 – SENTIMENTAL VALUE – JOACHIM TRIER AND ESKIL VOGT
4 – IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT – JAFAR PAHANI
5 – BLUE MOON – ROBERT KAPLOW
SARAH
1 – SINNERS – RYAN COOGLER
2 – SENTIMENTAL VALUE – JOACHIM TRIER AND ESKIL VOGT
3 – MARTY SUPREME – RONALD BRONSTEIN & JOSH SAFDIE
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