Each week, the OFFSCREENCENTRALteam will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns.
Weekly, we will update throughout the season and with each update below, we’ll indicate our changes as we update!
Anything in green has moved up in our predictions indicating an increased chance to us in its nomination chances. Anything in red has moved down in our predictions indicating a decreased chance to us in its nomination chances. Anything in blue is a new addition into our predictions. Anything in not highlighted remains in the same placement as the last time we updated our predictions.
Below, you’ll find our predictions for ORIGINALSCREENPLAY from most likely to least likely to be nominated.
*Last updated 1/1
KENZIE
1 – MARTY SUPREME – RONALD BRONSTEIN & JOSH SAFDIE
2 – IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT – JAFAR PAHANI
3 – SENTIMENTAL VALUE – JOACHIM TRIER AND ESKIL VOGT
4 – SINNERS – RYAN COOGLER
5 – JAY KELLY – NOAH BAUMBACH AND EMILY MORTIMER
6 – THE SECRET AGENT – KLEBER MENDONÇA FILHO
7 – SORRY, BABY – EVA VICTOR
8 – IS THIS THING ON? – WILL ARNETT, MARK CHAPPELL, BRADLEY COOPER AND JOHN BISHOP
9 – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU – MARY BRONSTEIN
10 – THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE – BRADY CORBET & MONA FASTVOLD
MAR
1 – MARTY SUPREME – RONALD BRONSTEIN & JOSH SAFDIE
2 – SENTIMENTAL VALUE – JOACHIM TRIER AND ESKIL VOGT
3 – IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT – JAFAR PAHANI
4 – SINNERS – RYAN COOGLER
5 – THE SECRET AGENT – KLEBER MENDONÇA FILHO
6 – JAY KELLY – NOAH BAUMBACH AND EMILY MORTIMER
7 – IS THIS THING ON? – WILL ARNETT, MARK CHAPPELL, BRADLEY COOPER AND JOHN BISHOP
8 – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU – MARY BRONSTEIN
9 – THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE – BRADY CORBET AND MONA FASTVOLD
10 – SORRY, BABY – EVA VICTOR
JESSA
1 – SENTIMENTAL VALUE – ESKIL VOGT AND JOACHIM TRIER
2 – IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT – JAFAR PAHANI
3 – SINNERS – RYAN COOGLER
4 – MARTY SUPREME – RONALD BRONSTEIN AND JOSH SAFDIE
5 – JAY KELLY – NOAH BAUMBACH AND EMILY MORTIMER
6 – THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE – BRADY CORBET AND MONA FASTVOLD
7 – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU – MARY BRONSTEIN
8 – SORRY, BABY – EVA VICTOR
9 – THE SECRET AGENT – KLEBER MENDONÇA FILHO
10 – WEAPONS – ZACH CREGGER
EVA
1 – MARTY SUPREME – RONALD BRONSTEIN AND JOSH SAFDIE
2 – IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT – JAFAR PANAHI
3 – SENTIMENTAL VALUE – ESKIL VOGT AND JOACHIM TRIER
4 – SINNERS – RYAN COOGLER
5 – JAY KELLY – NOAH BAUMBACH AND EMILY MORTIMER
6 – THE SECRET AGENT – KLEBER MENDONÇA FILHO
7 – BLUE MOON – ROBERT KAPLOW
8 – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU – MARY BRONSTEIN
9 – SORRY, BABY – EVA VICTOR
10 – WEAPONS – ZACH CREGGER
MEREDITH
1 – SINNERS – RYAN COOGLER
2 – MARTY SUPREME – RONALD BRONSTEIN AND JOSH SAFDIE
3 – IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT – JAFAR PAHANI
4 – SENTIMENTAL VALUE – ESKIL VOGT AND JOACHIN TRIER
5 – SORRY, BABY – EVA VICTOR
6 – THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE – BRADY CORBET AND MONA FASTVOLD
7 – RENTAL FAMILY – HIKARI AND STEPHEN BLAHUT
8 – THE SECRET AGENT – KLEBER MENDONÇA FILHO
9 – IS THIS THING ON? – WILL ARNETT, MARK CHAPPELL, BRADLEY COOPER AND JOHN BISHOP
10 – JAY KELLY – NOAH BAUMBACH AND EMILY MORTIMER
SARAH
1 – IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT – JAFAR PANAHI
2 – MARTY SUPREME – RONALD BRONSTEIN AND JOSH SAFDIE
3 – SINNERS – RYAN COOGLER
4 – SENTIMENTAL VALUE – ESKIL VOGT AND JOACHIN TRIER
5 – THE SECRET AGENT – KLEBER MENDONÇA FILHO
6 – BLUE MOON – ROBERT KAPLOW
7 – SORRY, BABY – EVA VICTOR
8 – IF I HAD LEGS, I’D KICK YOU – MARY BRONSTEIN
9 – JAY KELLY – NOAH BAUMBACH AND EMILY MORTIMER
10 – WEAPONS – ZACH CREGGER
MADELYN
1 – SINNERS – RYAN COOGLER
2 – MARTY SUPREME – RONALD BRONSTEIN AND JOSH SAFDIE
3 – IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT – JAFAR PAHANI
4 – JAY KELLY – NOAH BAUMBACH AND EMILY MORTIMER
5 – SENTIMENTAL VALUE – ESKIL VOGT AND JOACHIN TRIER
6 – SORRY, BABY – EVA VICTOR
7 – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU – MARY BRONSTEIN
8 – BLUE MOON – ROBERT KAPLOW
9 – THE SECRET AGENT – KLEBER MENDONÇA FILHO
10 – IS THIS THING ON? – WILL ARNETT, MARK CHAPPELL, BRADLEY COOPER AND JOHN BISHOP
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