Each week, the OFFSCREEN CENTRAL team will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns.

Weekly, we will update throughout the season and with each update below, we’ll indicate our changes as we update!

Anything in green has moved up in our predictions indicating an increased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in red has moved down in our predictions indicating a decreased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in blue is a new addition into our predictions.

Anything in not highlighted remains in the same placement as the last time we updated our predictions.

Below, you’ll find our predictions for LIVE ACTION SHORT from most likely to least likely to be nominated.

*Last updated 1/1

KENZIE
1 – JANE AUSTEN’S PERIOD DRAMA
2 – ROCK, PAPER, SCISSORS
3 – TWO PEOPLE EXCHANGING SALIVA
4 – EXTREMIST
5 – THE BOY WITH WHITE SKIN
6 – A FRIEND OF DOROTHY
7 – AMARELA
8 – PANTYHOSE
9 – BUTCHER’S STAIN
10 – DAD’S NOT HOME
MADELYN
1 – A FRIEND OF DOROTHY 
2 – TWO PEOPLE SHARING SALIVA
3 – JANE AUSTEN’S PERIOD DRAMA
4 – EXTREMIST
5 – ROCK, PAPER, SCISSORS
6 – THE BOY WITH WHITE SKIN
7 – DAD’S NOT HOME
8 – AMARELA
9 – BUTCHER’S STAIN
10 – THE SINGERS
JESSA
1 – JANE AUSTEN’S PERIOD DRAMA
2 – EXTREMIST
3 – A FRIEND OF DOROTHY
4 – ROCK, PAPER, SCISSORS
5 – BUTCHER’S STAIN
6 – DAD’S NOT HOME
7 – TWO PEOPLE SHARING SALIVA
8 – AMARELA
9 – PANTYHOSE
10 – THE BOY WITH WHITE SKIN
EVA
1 – A FRIEND OF DOROTHY
2 – JANE AUSTEN’S PERIOD DRAMA
3 – ROCK, PAPER, SCISSORS
4 – TWO PEOPLE EXCHANING SALIVA
5 – EXTREMIST
6 – BUTCHER’S STAIN
7 – DAD’S NOT HOME
8 – THE SINGERS
9 – AMARELA
10 – THE BOY WITH WHITE SKIN
MEREDITH
1 – JANE AUSTEN’S PERIOD DRAMA
2 – ROCK, PAPER, SCISSORS
3 – A FRIEND OF DOROTHY
4 – EXTREMIST
5 – PANTYHOSE
6 – THE BOY WITH WHITE SKIN
7 – BUTCHER’S STAIN
8 – DAD’S NOT HOME
9 – TWO PEOPLE SHARING SALIVA
10 – AMARELA
SARAH
1 – JANE AUSTEN’S PERIOD DRAMA
2 – ROCK, PAPER, SCISSORS
3 – EXTREMIST
4 – THE BOY WITH WHITE SKIN
5 – A FRIEND OF DOROTHY
6 – DAD’S NOT HOME
7 – AMARELA
8 – PANTYHOSE
9 – BUTCHER’S STAIN
10 – TWO PEOPLE ECHANGING SALIVA