Each week, the OFFSCREEN CENTRAL team will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns.

Weekly, we will update throughout the season and with each update below, we’ll indicate our changes as we update!

Anything in green has moved up in our predictions indicating an increased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in red has moved down in our predictions indicating a decreased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in blue is a new addition into our predictions.
Anything in not highlighted remains in the same placement as the last time we updated our predictions.

Below, you’ll find our predictions for LIVE ACTION SHORT from most likely to least likely to win.

*Last updated 1/1

KENZIE
1 – TWO PEOPLE EXCHANGING SALIVA
2 – THE SINGERS
3 – JANE AUSTEN’S PERIOD DRAMA
4 – A FRIEND OF DOROTHY
5 – BUTCHER’S STAIN
JESSA
1 – A FRIEND OF DOROTHY
2 – JANE AUSTEN’S PERIOD DRAMA
3 – BUTCHER’S STAIN
4 – THE SINGERS
5 – TWO PEOPLE EXCHANGING SALIVA
EVA
1 – TWO PEOPLE EXCHANGING SALIVA
2 – THE SINGERS
3 – BUTCHER’S STAIN
4 – A FRIEND OF DOROTHY
5 – JANE AUSTEN’S PERIOD DRAMA
MADELYN
1 – TWO PEOPLE EXCHANGING SALIVA
2 – BUTCHER’S STAIN
3 – A FRIEND OF DOROTHY
4 – THE SINGERS
5 – JANE AUSTEN’S PERIOD DRAMA
MEREDITH
1 – BUTCHER’S STAIN
2 – JANE AUSTEN’S PERIOD DRAMA
3 – TWO PEOPLE EXCHANGING SALIVA
4 – A FRIEND OF DOROTHY
5 – THE SINGERS
SARAH
1 – BUTCHER’S STAIN
2 – JANE AUSTEN’S PERIOD DRAMA
3 – TWO PEOPLE EXCHANGING SALIVA
4 – THE SINGERS
5 – A FRIEND OF DOROTHY