Each week, the OFFSCREEN CENTRAL team will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns.

Weekly, we will update throughout the season and with each update below, we’ll indicate our changes as we update!

Anything in green has moved up in our predictions indicating an increased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in red has moved down in our predictions indicating a decreased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in blue is a new addition into our predictions.
Anything in not highlighted remains in the same placement as the last time we updated our predictions.

Below, you’ll find our predictions for LEAD ACTRESS from most likely to least likely to be nominated.

*Last updated 10/1

KENZIE
1 – JULIANNE MOORE – THE DEBUT
2 – OLIVIA WILDE – THE INVITE
3 – SANDRA HÜLLER – ROSE
4 – VIRGINIE EFIRA – ALL OF A SUDDEN
5 – RENATE REINSVE – FJORD
6 – RUTH MADELEY – BEING HEUMANN
7 – INDE NAVARRETTE – OBSESSION
8 – CARRIE COON – THE LIBERATION
9 – LÉA SEYDOUX – GENTLE MONSTER
10 – SANDRA HÜLLER – FATHERLAND
JESSA
1 – JULIANNE MOORE – THE DEBUT
2 – VIRGINIA EFIRA – ALL OF A SUDDEN
3 – SANDRA HÜLLER – ROSE
4 – RENARE REINSVE – FJORD
5 – OLIVIA WILDE – THE INVITE
6 – INDE NAVARRETTE – OBSESSION
7 – ZENDAYA – THE DRAMA
8 – RUTH MADELEY – BEING HEUMANN
9 – LÉA SEYDOUX – GENTLE MONSTER
10 – CYNTHIA ERIVO – PRIMA FACIE
EVA
1 – JULIANNE MOORE – THE DEBUT
2 – OLIVIA WILDE – THE INVITE
3 – SANDRA HULLER – ROSE
4 – RENATE REINSVE – FJORD
5 – VIRGINIE EFIRA – ALL OF A SUDDEN
6 – INDE NAVARETTE – OBSESSION
7 – ROSALIND ELEAZAR – MISTY GREEN
8 – ZENDAYA – THE DRAMA
9 – LÉA SEYDOUX – GENTLE MONSTER
10 – RUTH MADELEY – BEING HEUMANN
MADELYN
1 – JULIANNE MOORE – THE DEBUT
2 – OLIVIA WILDE – THE INVITE
3 – RENARE REINSVE – FJORD
4 – SANDRA HÜLLER – ROSE
5 – CARRIE COON – THE LIBERATION
6 – INDE NAVARETTE – OBSESSION
7 – RUTH MADELEY – BEING HEUMANN
8 – LÉA SEYDOUX – GENTLE MONSTER
9 – CYNTHIA ERIVO – PRIMA FACIE
10 – DAISY EDGAR-JONES – SENSE AND SENSIBILITY
MEREDITH
1 – JULIANNE MOORE – THE DEBUT
2 – OLIVIA WILDE – THE INVITE
3 – RENARE REINSVE – FJORD
4 – SANDRA HÜLLER – ROSE
5 – RUTH MADELEY – BEING HEUMANN
6 – INDE NAVARETTE – OBSESSION
7 – VIRGINIE EFIRA – ALL OF A SUDDEN
8 – LÉA SEYDOUX – GENTLE MONSTER
9 – CARRIE COON – THE LIBERATION
10 – DAISY EDGAR-JONES – SENSE AND SENSIBILITY
SARAH
1 – JULIANNE MOORE – THE DEBUT
2 – RENATE REINSVE – FJORD
3 – SANDRA HÜLLER – ROSE
4 – VIRGINIE EFIRA – ALL OF A SUDDEN
5 – CARRIE COON – THE LIBERATION
6 – INDE NAVARRETTE – OBSESSION
7 – RUTH MADELEY – BEING HEUMANN
8 – OLIVIA WILDE – THE INVITE
9 – LÉA SEYDOUX – GENTLE MONSTER
10 – CYNTHIA ERIVO – PRIMA FACIE