Each week, the OFFSCREEN CENTRAL team will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns.

Weekly, we will update throughout the season and with each update below, we’ll indicate our changes as we update!

Anything in green has moved up in our predictions indicating an increased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in red has moved down in our predictions indicating a decreased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in blue is a new addition into our predictions.
Anything in not highlighted remains in the same placement as the last time we updated our predictions.

Below, you’ll find our predictions for LEAD ACTRESS from most likely to least likely to be nominated.

*Last updated 12/11

KENZIE
1 – ROSE BYRNE – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU
2 – AMANDA SEYFRIED – THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
3 – JESSIE BUCKLEY – HAMNET
4 – CHASE INFINITI – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
5 – RENATE REINSVE – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
6 – TESSA THOMPSON – HEDDA
7 – EMMA STONE – BUGONIA
8 – JENNIFER LAWRENCE – DIE MY LOVE
9 – CYNTHIA ERIVO – WICKED: FOR GOOD
10 – KATE HUDSON – SONG SUNG BLUE
MAR
1 – AMANDA SEYFRIED – THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
2 – JESSIE BUCKLEY – HAMNET
3 – RENATE REINSVE – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
4 – CHASE INFINITI – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
5 – ROSE BYRNE – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU
6 – JENNIFER LAWRENCE – DIE MY LOVE
7 – EMMA STONE – BUGONIA
8 – TESSA THOMPSON – HEDDA
9 – CYNTHIA ERIVO – WICKED: FOR GOOD
10 – KATE HUDSON – SONG SUNG BLUE
JESSA
1 – JESSIE BUCKLEY – HAMNET
2 – ROSE BYRNE – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU
3 – RENATE REINSVE – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
4 – AMANDA SEYFRIED – THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
5 – CYNTHIA ERIVO – WICKED: FOR GOOD
6 – CHASE INFINITI – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
7 – EMMA STONE – BUGONIA
8 – JENNIFER LAWRENCE – DIE MY LOVE
9 – KATE HUDSON – SONG SUNG BLUE
10 – TESSA THOMPSON – HEDDA
EVA
1 – JESSIE BUCKLEY – HAMNET
2 – ROSE BYRNE – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU
3 – CHASE INFINITI – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
4 – AMANDA SEYFRIED – THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
5 – RENATE REINSVE – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
6 – CYNTHIA ERIVO – WICKED: FOR GOOD
7 – EMMA STONE – BUGONIA
8 – JENNIFER LAWRENCE – DIE MY LOVE
9 – KATE HUDSON – SONG SUNG BLUE
10 – TESSA THOMPSON – HEDDA
MEREDITH
1 – JESSIE BUCKLEY – HAMNET
2 – RENATE REINSVE – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
3 – CHASE INFINITI – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
4 – ROSE BYRNE – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU
5 – AMANDA SEYFRIED – THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
6 – EMMA STONE – BUGONIA
7 – JENNIFER LAWRENCE – DIE MY LOVE
8 – CYNTHIA ERIVO – WICKED: FOR GOOD
9 – TESSA THOMPSON – HEDDA
10 – KATE HUDSON – SONG SUNG BLUE
SARAH
1 – JESSIE BUCKLEY – HAMNET
2 – RENATE REINSVE – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
3 – AMANDA SEYFRIED – THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
4 – CHASE INFINITI – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
5 – ROSE BYRNE – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU 
6 – EMMA STONE – BUGONIA
7 – JENNIFER LAWRENCE – DIE MY LOVE
8 – CYNTHIA ERIVO – WICKED: FOR GOOD
9 – TESSA THOMPSON – HEDDA
10 – KATE HUDSON – SONG SUNG BLUE
MADELYN
1 – JESSIE BUCKLEY – HAMNET
2 – ROSE BYRNE – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU
3 – RENATE REINSVE – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
4 – CHASE INFINITI – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
5 – JENNIFER LAWRENCE – DIE MY LOVE
6 – AMANDA SEYFRIED – THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
7 – EMMA STONE – BUGONIA
8 – CYNTHIA ERIVO – WICKED: FOR GOOD
9 – TESSA THOMPSON – HEDDA
10 – JULIA ROBERTS – AFTER THE HUNT