Each week, the OFFSCREEN CENTRAL team will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns.

Weekly, we will update throughout the season and with each update below, we’ll indicate our changes as we update!

Anything in green has moved up in our predictions indicating an increased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in red has moved down in our predictions indicating a decreased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in blue is a new addition into our predictions.
Anything in not highlighted remains in the same placement as the last time we updated our predictions.

Below, you’ll find our predictions for LEAD ACTRESS from most likely to least likely to win.

*Last updated 2/27

KENZIE
1 – JESSIE BUCKLEY – HAMNET
2 – ROSE BYRNE – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU
3 – RENATE REINSVE – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
4 – KATE HUDSON – SONG SUNG BLUE
5 – EMMA STONE – BUGONIA
JESSA
1 – JESSIE BUCKLEY – HAMNET
2 – ROSE BYRNE – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU
3 – EMMA STONE – BUGONIA
4 – KATE HUDSON – SONG SUNG BLUE
5 – RENATE REINSVE – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
EVA
1 – JESSIE BUCKLEY – HAMNET
2 – RENATE REINSVE – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
3 – ROSE BYRNE – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU
4 – EMMA STONE – BUGONIA
5 – KATE HUDSON – SONG SUNG BLUE
MADELYN
1 – JESSIE BUCKLEY – HAMNET
2 – ROSE BYRNE – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU
3 – RENATE REINSVE – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
4 – EMMA STONE – BUGONIA
5 – KATE HUDSON – SONG SUNG BLUE
MEREDITH
1 – JESSIE BUCKLEY – HAMNET
2 – ROSE BYRNE – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU
3 – RENATE REINSVE – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
4 – EMMA STONE – BUGONIA
5 – KATE HUDSON – SONG SUNG BLUE
SARAH
1 – JESSIE BUCKLEY – HAMNET
2 – ROSE BYRNE – IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU
3 – RENATE REINSVE – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
4 – KATE HUDSON – SONG SONG BLUE
5 – EMMA STONE – BUGONIA