Each week, the OFFSCREEN CENTRAL team will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns.

Weekly, we will update throughout the season and with each update below, we’ll indicate our changes as we update!

Anything in green has moved up in our predictions indicating an increased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in red has moved down in our predictions indicating a decreased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in blue is a new addition into our predictions.
Anything in not highlighted remains in the same placement as the last time we updated our predictions.

Below, you’ll find our predictions for DOCUMENTARY SHORT from most likely to least likely to be nominated.

*Last updated 1/1

KENZIE
1 – ARMED ONLY WITH A CAMERA: THE LIFE AND DEATH OF BRENT RENAUD
2 – ALL THE EMPTY ROOMS
3 – WE WERE THE SCENERY
4 – CHASING TIME
5 – ON HEALING LAND, BIRDS PERCH
6 – PERFECTLY A STRANGENESS
7 – CASHING OUT
8 – ALL THE WALLS CAME DOWN
9 – BAD HOSTAGE
10 – ROVINA’S CHOICE
MADELYN
1 – ALL THE EMPTY ROOMS
2 – ARMED ONLY WITH A CAMERA: THE LIFE AND DEATH OF BRENT RENAUD
3 – THE DEVIL IS BUSY 
4 – CASHING OUT 
5 – BAD HOSTAGE 
6 – LAST DAY ON LAKE TRINITY 
7 – WE WERE THE SCENERY 
8 – ALL THE WALLS CAME DOWN 
9 – ROVINA’S CHOICE
10 – ON HEALING LAND, BIRDS PERCH
JESSA
1 – ALL THE EMPTY ROOMS
2 – ARMED ONLY WITH A CAMERA: THE LIFE AND DEATH OF BRENT RENAUD
3 – WE WERE THE SCENERY
4 – CHILDREN NO MORE: WERE AND ARE GONE
5 – LAST DAYS ON LAKE TRINITY
6 – ON HEALING LAND, BIRDS PERCH
7 – ROVINA’S CHOICE
8 – BAD HOSTAGE
9 – CLASSROOM 4
10 – THE DEVIL IS BUSY
EVA
1 – ARMED ONLY WITH A CAMERA: THE LIFE AND DEATH OF BRENT RENAUD
2 – ALL THE EMPTY ROOMS
3 – CHILDREN NO MORE: WERE AND ARE GONE
4 – WE WERE THE SCENERY
5 – HEARTBEAT
6 – ROVINA’S CHOICE
7 – ALL THE WALLS CAME DOWN
8 – CHASING TIME
9 – THE DEVIL IS BUSY
10 – ON HEALING LAND, BIRDS PERCH
MEREDITH
1 – PERFECTLY A STRANGENESS
2 – ARMED ONLY WITH A CAMERA: THE LIFE AND DEATH OF BRENT RENAUD
3 – ON HEALING LAND, BIRDS PERCH
4 – ALL THE EMPTY ROOMS
5 – WE WERE THE SCENERY
6 – CHASING TIME
7 – ALL THE WALLS CAME DOWN
8 – BAD HOSTAGE
9 – ROVINA’S CHOICE
10 – CASHING OUT
SARAH
1 – ARMED ONLY WITH A CAMERA: THE LIFE AND DEATH OF BRENT RENAUD
2 – ALL THE EMPTY ROOMS
3 – BAD HOSTAGE
4 – PERFECTLY A STRANGENESS
5 – WE WERE THE SCENERY
6 – ALL THE WALLS CAME DOWN
7 – ROVINA’S CHOICE
8 – CASHING OUT
9 – ON HEALING LAND, BIRDS PERCH
10 – CHASING TIME