Each week, the OFFSCREEN CENTRAL team will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns.

Weekly, we will update throughout the season and with each update below, we’ll indicate our changes as we update!

Anything in green has moved up in our predictions indicating an increased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in red has moved down in our predictions indicating a decreased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in blue is a new addition into our predictions.

Anything in not highlighted remains in the same placement as the last time we updated our predictions.

Below, you’ll find our predictions for BEST DIRECTOR from most likely to least likely to win.

*Last updated 2/27

KENZIE
1 – PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2 – RYAN COOGLER – SINNERS
3 – CHLOÉ ZHAO – HAMNET
4 – JOSH SAFDIE – MARTY SUPREME
5 – JOACHIM TRIER – SENTIMENTAL VALUE 
JESSA
1 – PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2 – RYAN COOGLER – SINNERS
3 – CHLOÉ ZHAO – HAMNET
4 – JOACHIM TRIER – SENTIMENTAL VALUE
5 – JOSH SAFDIE – MARTY SUPREME
EVA
1 – PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2 – RYAN COOGLER – SINNERS
3 – JOACHIM TRIER – SENTIMENTAL VALUE 
4 – JOSH SAFDIE – MARTY SUPREME
5 – CHLOÉ ZHAO – HAMNET
MADELYN
1 – PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2 – RYAN COOGLER – SINNERS
3 – CHLOÉ ZHAO – HAMNET
4 – JOACHIM TRIER – SENTIMENTAL VALUE 
5 – JOSH SAFDIE – MARTY SUPREME
MEREDITH
1 – PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2 – CHLOÉ ZHAO – HAMNET
3 – RYAN COOGLER – SINNERS
4 – JOACHIM TRIER – SENTIMENTAL VALUE 
5 – JOSH SAFDIE – MARTY SUPREME
SARAH
1 – PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2 – RYAN COOGLER – SINNERS
3 – JOACHIM TRIER – SENTIMENTAL VALUE 
4 – CHLOÉ ZHAO – HAMNET
5 – JOSH SAFDIE – MARTY SUPREME