Each week, the OFFSCREENCENTRALteam will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns.
Weekly, we will update throughout the season and with each update below, we’ll indicate our changes as we update!
Anything in green has moved up in our predictions indicating an increased chance to us in its nomination chances. Anything in red has moved down in our predictions indicating a decreased chance to us in its nomination chances. Anything in blue is a new addition into our predictions. Anything in not highlighted remains in the same placement as the last time we updated our predictions.
Below, you’ll find our predictions for ADAPTEDSCREENPLAY from most likely to least likely to be nominated.
*Last updated 10/1
KENZIE
1 – THE INVITE (RASHIDA JONES AND WILL MCCORMACK)
2 – LA BOLA NEGRA (JAVIER AMBROSSI AND JAVIER CALVO)
3 – THE ODYSSEY (CHRISTOPHER NOLAN)
4 – ALL OF A SUDDEN (RYUSUKE HAMAGUCHI AND LÉA LE DIMNA)
5 – DUNE: PART THREE (DENIS VILLENEUVE AND BRIAN K. VAUGHAN)
6 – PROJECT HAIL MARY (DREW GODDARD)
7 – THE FURTHER MIS-ADVENTURES OF CLIFF BOOTH (QUENTIN TARANTINO)
8 – INK (JAMES GRAHAM)
9 – SENSE AND SENSIBILITY (DIANA REID)
10 – MINOTAUR (SIMON LIASHENKO AND ANDREY ZVYAGINTSEV)
JESSA
1 – LA BOLA NEGRA (JAVIER AMBROSSI AND JAVIER CALVO)
2 – THE ODYSSEY (CHRISTOPHER NOLAN)
3 – THE INVITE (RASHIDA JONES AND WILL MCCORMACK)
4 – PROJECT HAIL MARY (DREW GODDARD)
5 – DUNE: PART THREE (DENIS VILLENEUVE AND BRIAN K. VAUGHAN)
6 – INK (JAMES GRAHAM)
7 – ALL OF A SUDDEN (RYUSUKE HAMAGUCHI AND LÉA LE DIMNA)
8 – SENSE AND SENSIBILITY (DIANA REID)
9 – THE SOCIAL RECKONING (AARON SORKIN)
EVA
1 – LA BOLA NEGRA (JAVIER AMBROSSI AND JAVIER CALVO)
2 – THE ODYSSEY (CHRISTOPHER NOLAN)
3 – THE INVITE (RASHIDA JONES AND WILL MCCORMACK)
4 – PROJECT HAIL MARY (DREW GODDARD)
5 – ALL OF A SUDDEN (RYUSUKE HAMAGUCHI AND LÉA LE DIMNA)
6 – DUNE: PART THREE (DENIS VILLENEUVE AND BRIAN K. VAUGHAN)
7 – INK (JAMES GRAHAM)
8 – THE FURTHER MIS-ADVENTURES OF CLIFF BOOTH (QUENTIN TARANTINO)
9 – BEING HEUMANN (REBEKAH TAUSSIG AND SIAN HEDER)
MADELYN
1 – THE ODYSSEY (CHRISTOPHER NOLAN)
2 – THE INVITE (RASHIDA JONES AND WILL MCCORMACK)
3 – PROJECT HAIL MARY (DREW GODDARD)
4 – DUNE: PART THREE (DENIS VILLENEUVE AND BRIAN K. VAUGHAN)
5 – SENSE AND SENSIBILITY (DIANA REID)
6 – INK (JAMES GRAHAM)
7 – ALL OF A SUDDEN (RYUSUKE HAMAGUCHI AND LÉA LE DIMNA)
8 – TONY ( MATT JOHNSON, MATTHEW MILLER, TODD BARTELS, AND LOU HOWE)
9 – MINOTAUR (SIMON LIASHENKO AND ANDREY ZVYAGINTSEV)
10 – THE SOCIAL RECKONING (AARON SORKIN)
MEREDITH
1 – THE ODYSSEY (CHRISTOPHER NOLAN)
2 – THE INVITE (RASHIDA JONES AND WILL MCCORMACK)
3 – LA BOLA NEGRA (JAVIER AMBROSSI AND JAVIER CALVO)
4 – DUNE: PART THREE (DENIS VILLENEUVE AND BRIAN K. VAUGHAN)
5 – PROJECT HAIL MARY (DREW GODDARD)
6 – SENSE AND SENSIBILITY (DIANA REID)
7 – THE FURTHER MIS-ADVENTURES OF CLIFF BOOTH (QUENTIN TARANTINO)
8 – INK (JAMES GRAHAM)
9 – ALL OF A SUDDEN (RYUSUKE HAMAGUCHI AND LÉA LE DIMNA)
10 – MINOTAUR (SIMON LIASHENKO AND ANDREY ZVYAGINTSEV)
