Each week, the OFFSCREEN CENTRAL team will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns.

Weekly, we will update throughout the season and with each update below, we’ll indicate our changes as we update!

Anything in green has moved up in our predictions indicating an increased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in red has moved down in our predictions indicating a decreased chance to us in its nomination chances.
Anything in blue is a new addition into our predictions.
Anything in not highlighted remains in the same placement as the last time we updated our predictions.

Below, you’ll find our predictions for ADAPTED SCREENPLAY from most likely to least likely to be nominated.

*Last updated 12/11

KENZIE
1 – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER – PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON
2 – FRANKENSTEIN – GUILLERMO DEL TORO
3 – NO OTHER CHOICE LEE JA-HYE, LEE KYOUNG-MI, PARK CHAN-WOOK AND DON MCKELLAR
4 – HAMNET – MAGGIE O’FARRELL AND CHLOÉ ZHAO
5 – TRAIN DREAMS – CLINT BENTLEY AND GREG KWEDAR
6 – WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY – RIAN JOHNSON
7 – BUGONIA – WILL TRACY
8 – HEDDA – NIA DACOSTA
9 – THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB – KAOUTHER BEN HANIA
10 – SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE – SCOTT COOPER
MAR
1 – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER – PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON
2 – HAMNET – MAGGIE O’FARRELL AND CHLOÉ ZHAO
3 – TRAIN DREAMS – CLINT BENTLEY AND GREG KWEDAR
4 – FRANKENSTEIN – GUILLERMO DEL TORO
5 – NO OTHER CHOICE LEE JA-HYE, LEE KYOUNG-MI, PARK CHAN-WOOK AND DON MCKELLAR
6 – WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY – RIAN JOHNSON
7 – HEDDA – NIA DACOSTA
8 – BUGONIA – WILL TRACY
9 – THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB – KAOUTHER BEN HANIA
10 – SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE – SCOTT COOPER
JESSA
1 – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER – PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON
2 – HAMNET – MAGGIE O’FARRELL AND CHLOÉ ZHAO
3 – FRANKENSTEIN – GUILLERMO DEL TORO
4 – TRAIN DREAMS – CLINT BENTLY AND GREG KWEDAR
5 – WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY – RIAN JOHNSON
6 – BUGONIA – WILL TRACY
7 – NO OTHER CHOICE – LEE JA-HYE, LEE KYOUNG-MI, PARK CHAN-WOOK AND DON MCKELLAR
8 – HEDDA – NIA DACOSTA
9 – SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE – SCOTT COOPER
10 – THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB – KAOUTHER BEN HANIA
EVA
1 – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER – PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON
2 – HAMNET – MAGGIE O’FARRELL AND CHLOE ZHAO
3 – FRANKENSTEIN – GUILLERMO DEL TORO
4 – TRAIN DREAMS – CLINT BENTLEY AND GREG KWEDAR
5 – NO OTHER CHOICE – PARK CHAN-WOOK, LEE KYOUNG-MI, JAHYE LEE, AND DON MCKELLAR
6 – BUGONIA – WILL TRACY
7 – HEDDA – NIA DACOSTA
8 – WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY – RIAN JOHNSON
9 – WICKED: FOR GOOD – WINNIE HOLZMAN AND DANA FOX
10 – SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE – SCOTT COOPER
MEREDITH
1 – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER – PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON
2 – HAMNET – MAGGIE O’FARRELL AND CHLOE ZHAO
3 – TRAIN DREAMS – CLINT BENTLEY AND GREG KWEDAR
4 – FRANKENSTEIN – GUILLERMO DEL TORO
5 – NO OTHER CHOICE – PARK CHAN-WOOK, LEE KYOUNG-MI, JAHYE LEE, AND DON MCKELLAR
6 – WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY – RIAN JOHNSON
7 – DIE MY LOVE – EDNA WALSH, LYNN RAMSAY AND ALICE BIRCH
8 – BUGONIA – WILL TRACY
9 – WICKED: FOR GOOD – WINNIE HOLZMAN AND DANA FOX
10 – SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE – SCOTT COOPER
SARAH
1 – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER – PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON
2 – HAMNET – MAGGIE O’FARREL, CHLOE ZHAO
3 – TRAIN DREAMS – CLING BENTLEY, GREG KWEDAR
4 – FRANKENSTEIN – GUILLERMO DEL TORO
5 – IS THIS THING ON? – WILL ARNETT, MARK CHAPPELL, BRADLEY COOPER AND JOHN BISHOP
6 – NO OTHER CHOICE – PARK CHAN-WOOK, LEE KYOUNG-MI, DON MCKELLAR, JAYHE LEE
7 – BUGONIA – WILL TRACY
8 – WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY – RIAN JOHNSON
9 – THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB – KAOUTHER BEN HANIA
10 – HEDDA – NIA DACOSTA
MADELYN
1 – ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER – PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON
2 – HAMNET – MAGGIE O’FARRELL AND CHLOE ZHAO
3 – TRAIN DREAMS – CLINT BENTLEY AND GREG KWEDAR
4 – NO OTHER CHOICE – PARK CHAN-WOOK, LEE KYOUNG-MI, JAHYE LEE, AND DON MCKELLAR
5 – WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY – RIAN JOHNSON
6 – FRANKENSTEIN – GUILLERMO DEL TORO
7 – BUGONIA – WILL TRACY
8 – HEDDA – NIA DACOSTA 
9 – DIE MY LOVE – EDNA WALSH, LYNN RAMSAY AND ALICE BIRCH
10 – SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE – SCOTT COOPER